Preparedness is not an official Blue Origin launch probability. It separates the NG-3 flight corrective actions from the May 28 hotfire investigation, pad reconstruction, added Stennis upper-stage test capacity, and next-mission work.
52% · Phase 3 of 5 / table in inspection
Site recovery and cleanup are complete. The launch table is at the Integration Facility for inspection and CONOPS adjustments; reinstallation, umbilical work, water-system tie-in, tower repairs, and systems integration remain ahead.
The May 28 ground-test investigation remains active. Blue Origin says early analysis points to the aft section of the first stage.
68% · Verification pending
The FAA closed the NG-3 mishap investigation and authorized return to flight, subject to verification of nine corrective actions and other licensing requirements.
The 7x2 vehicle will be integrated horizontally, lifted onto the refurbished launch table by crane, and receive its payload after vertical breakover.
Blue Origin has not publicly confirmed the next payload, target orbit, or launch window beyond its goal to fly again before the end of 2026.
55% · Stennis test site added
The B-Test Complex agreement adds an upper-stage hotfire testbed intended to validate the stage and deconflict testing from LC-36. Facility activation and test milestones remain ahead.